Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment

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Description

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

 

In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

 

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.


About the Author

Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein

Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein

Daniel Kahneman (born March 5, 1934) is an Israeli-American psychologist notable for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making, as well as behavioral economics, for which he was award... Read more

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Tags: Brain & Thinking, Scientific Theories, Famous Scientists, The Human Brain, Intelligence, Famous Psychologists, Consciousness & Subconsciousness

Specification
Year 30-09-2021
Translator from English: Rosen Lyutskanov
Pages 496
Size 140/215 мм
Weight 0.900 kg
Cover Type Hardcover
Genre Brain & Thinking, Scientific Theories, Famous Scientists, The Human Brain, Intelligence, Famous Psychologists, Consciousness & Subconsciousness

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